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Projections Report

Projections Report

The most recent projections show that the risk of PBGC’s Multiemployer Program becoming insolvent prior to FY 2024 or remaining solvent after FY 2026 is now very small. It is increasingly likely that the Multiemployer Program will become insolvent during FY 2025.
PBGC’s Single-Employer Program forecasts have continued to improve, with a larger chance of emerging from deficit by FY 2018 and emergence likely by FY 2019.

The Projections Report illustrate the future financial condition of PBGC's two insurance programs. The reports look out over a 10-year period and satisfy requirements under Title IV of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA). The Projections Report was formerly called the Exposure Report.

Multiemployer Plans and Single-Employer Plans:

PBGC's programs for multiemployer and single-employer programs cover different risks, and the average multiemployer plan is much less well funded than the average single-employer plan, when measured on a comparable basis. PBGC's financial outlook for its insurance programs reflects a similar disparity - while deficits in the single-employer program are likely to improve, deficits in the multiemployer program are projected to remain very high, at current premium levels, and the multiemployer system is more likely than not to run out of money by 2025.

Our MPRA report based on the model and data for the FY2015 Projections report, provided more information on how much additional revenue would have been needed at that point by the Multiemployer Program

The Pension Insurance Modeling System (PIMS) is the modeling system that PBGC uses to prepare the Projections Report and the MPRA report. It estimates the future of the single-employer and multiemployer PBGC programs and is also used to model the U.S. private pension system.

Last updated October 18, 2018